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Growth is not correlated with Inflation

 
Paper:ewp-mac/9803006
From:    
Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 16:13:46 -0600

Abstract:
A paper by W. R. J. Alexander concluded, on the basis of econometric analysis involving variables additional to the two principal ones, that a decrease in inflation rate would result in a significant gain in the growth rate of national output. This note shows that this verbal conclusion does not follow from the results of the algebraic analysis which precedes it, and more generally, that time-series analysis, with or without additional variables, is unlikely to be able to contradict the conclusion of simple two-parameter cross-section correlation studies - namely that the growth rates of countries are not correlated with their inflation rates.

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EconWPA began as a conversation between Bob Parks and Larry Blume on January 28, 1993. I located Paul Ginsparg's archive (then xxx.lanl.gov) and he graciously installed his software on a Sun Sparc system which was supporting the department of economics email and computation. EconWPA began accepting papers July 1, 1993 and had ftp, email, gopher and web interfaces. The web interface for submissions was engineered into existence in July 1995. A complete and catastrophic machine failure in 1999 caused the loss of EconWPA's email new paper announcment service at which time there were over 15,000 subscriptions with over 8,000 unique email addresses.

In 2005, Arts and Sciences commandeered the computing services that I had provided to the Department of Economics since 1987. Some might say that the department was sold out, others would (erroneously) claim that centralization is efficient, and still others would claim that I have few marketing skills.

I was told that I could keep operating EconWPA (as well as many other services including rfe.wustl.edu, barnett.wustl.edu, and three RePEc servers) but I would receive no support (hardware, software, or anthing else) and (as had been the case) no compensation. At that point, given the apparent low valuation of my activities by the department, and university, it made no sense for me to continue operating EconWPA or other services.

Thanks to all who have supported EconWPA in the past.

A Chinese curse states May you live in intersting times. I have. Bob Parks - Jan 2006