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Commodity Futures Contract Viability: A Multidisciplinary Approach

Paper:ewp-fin/9905002
From:    
Date: Sat, 1 May 1999 03:30:53 -0500 (CDT)

Title: Commodity Futures Contract Viability: A Multidisciplinary Approach
Author: Joost M.E. Pennings (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) and Raymond M. Leuthold (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Contact:
Comments: Type of Document - PDF; prepared on IBM PC ; pages: 40 ; figures: included. Office for Futures and Options Research (OFOR) at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Working Paper 99-02. For a complete list of OFOR working papers see http://w3.ag.uiuc.edu/ACE/ofor
Keywords: Futures Contracts Design; Multidisciplinarity; Hedging Effectiveness; Choice Behavior; Measurement Error; Segments; Futures Exchange Toolbox
JEL:
EWPA-references:
Report-no: OFOR-99-02

Abstract:

We propose a development process of commodity futures contracts in which the decisions and wishes of potential customers are investigated simultaneously with the necessary technical properties that need to be met for trading to take place. Within this framework the relationship between trading volume and hedging effectiveness is examined taking both basis risk and market depth risk into account, and the relationship between owner-manager's characteristics and the probability of using futures is examined, taking latent variables and the heterogeneity of owner-managers into account. The relationships are tested on a set of data gathered in a stratified sample of 440 owner-managers by means of computer-assisted personal interviews and on transaction-specific futures data. Structural equation models and multiple regression models are used to validate the relationships. The hedging effectiveness and the variables that play a role in the owner-manager's use of futures are related to the tools of the exchange.

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EconWPA began as a conversation between Bob Parks and Larry Blume on January 28, 1993. I located Paul Ginsparg's archive (then xxx.lanl.gov) and he graciously installed his software on a Sun Sparc system which was supporting the department of economics email and computation. EconWPA began accepting papers July 1, 1993 and had ftp, email, gopher and web interfaces. The web interface for submissions was engineered into existence in July 1995. A complete and catastrophic machine failure in 1999 caused the loss of EconWPA's email new paper announcment service at which time there were over 15,000 subscriptions with over 8,000 unique email addresses.

In 2005, Arts and Sciences commandeered the computing services that I had provided to the Department of Economics since 1987. Some might say that the department was sold out, others would (erroneously) claim that centralization is efficient, and still others would claim that I have few marketing skills.

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A Chinese curse states May you live in intersting times. I have. Bob Parks - Jan 2006